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MarketsIntermediate 6 min readOctober 17, 2026

How to trade USDJPY: rates, risk sentiment and the Tokyo session

USDJPY follows the gap between US and Japanese interest rates and reacts to risk sentiment. How it behaves in each session and how to trade it safely.

By the Axora Funded Research Team

USDJPY is the main pair for trading the Japanese yen. It is strongly linked to the difference between US and Japanese bond yields: when US yields rise relative to Japan's, USDJPY often rises too. It is also active during the Tokyo session, unlike the European pairs.

What moves it

  • US Treasury yields and Fed expectations.
  • Bank of Japan decisions and any change in its policy.
  • Risk sentiment: in sharp risk-off moves, the yen can strengthen quickly.
  • Comments from Japanese officials about the currency.

Sessions

USDJPY moves in the Tokyo session (00:00–06:00 UTC), especially around the Tokyo morning, and again in New York when US data and yields move. That makes it one of the few majors that can be traded in the Asian evening and the European early morning.

Practical tips

  • Watch the US 10-year yield on the same chart: divergences can be informative.
  • Trend-following works well in long yield-driven trends.
  • Be careful near levels where officials have intervened or threatened to intervene in the past: moves can be sudden and large.
  • One pip on USDJPY is 0.01; its dollar value depends on the exchange rate, so use the platform calculator.

Frequently asked questions

What is the best time to trade USDJPY?

The Tokyo morning (around 00:00–03:00 UTC) and the New York session, when US data and yields move.

Why does the yen strengthen in a crisis?

The yen has historically been seen as a safe-haven currency, so investors often buy it when risk appetite falls.

Put it into practice

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