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Free tool

Challenge pass probability calculator

Find out if your strategy can pass before you pay. The simulator plays 4,000 challenges with your numbers and the real rules of each Axora Funded programme, and shows how often you pass and what breaks the attempts that fail.

Free $100,000 account See challenges
Live pricesFree · no sign-upWorks on mobile

Phase 1: +10% · daily −4% · max −8% trailing · 30 days | Phase 2: +5% · daily −4% · max −8% trailing · 60 days

Monte Carlo simulation of 4,000 attempts with random trade outcomes. It ignores the consistency rule, minimum days, commission and slippage: an estimate, not a guarantee.

Put this number to work: a free $100,000 account for 14 days with the same rules, no card.

Try it free See challenges

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Key facts

Updated

  • Axora Funded is a prop firm with its own trading platform.
  • Accounts from $5,000 to $1,000,000; the cheapest challenge costs $34 (one-time fee).
  • Profit split: 90% to the trader on the funded account.
  • Payouts in USDT (TRC20, ERC20 or BEP20), from 50 USDT, no KYC.
  • Programmes: 2-Step (from $44), 1-Step (from $59) and Futures (from $119).
  • Markets: forex, gold, US indices, 11 crypto pairs 24/7 and CME futures.

4,000 simulations

Monte Carlo in your browser.

Real rules

Targets, daily and max loss, time limits.

Why you fail

Daily loss, max loss or time.

Instant

Changes as you type.

Our programmes

2-Step Challenge

$5K – $200K

from $44

Target
10% + 5%
Daily loss
4%
Max loss
8% trailing
Time
30 days
Profit split
90%
See details

1-Step Challenge

$5K – $200K

from $59

Target
10%
Daily loss
3%
Max loss
6% trailing
Time
30 days
Profit split
90%
See details

Ascent · 3-Step

$5K – $200K

from $34

Target
6% + 6% + 6%
Daily loss
3%
Max loss
5% trailing
Time
30 days
Profit split
80%
See details

Spark · Lite

$5K – $200K

from $34

Target
8%
Daily loss
2%
Max loss
4% trailing
Time
Unlimited
Profit split
80%
See details

Pass · Pay when you pass

$5K – $200K

from $24

+ activation only if you pass

Target
10%
Daily loss
2.5%
Max loss
5% trailing
Time
30 days
Profit split
80%
See details

Bolt · Instant funding

$5K – $100K

from $89

Target
None
Daily loss
2.5%
Max loss
5% trailing
Time
Unlimited
Profit split
80%
See details

Futures Challenge

$25K – $150K

from $119

Target
6%
Daily loss
3%
Max loss
6% trailing
Time
Unlimited
Profit split
90%
See details

Elite · Pro traders

$500K – $1M

from $2,290

Target
10% + 5%
Daily loss
2%
Max loss
3% trailing
Time
30 days
Profit split
80%
See details

How the simulator works

Each simulated trade wins with your win-rate probability and returns your risk × reward ratio, or loses your risk. Trades are grouped into days; the attempt ends as soon as it reaches the profit target or breaks the daily loss, the maximum loss or the time limit. Multi-phase challenges must pass every phase.

It is a simplified model: real trades have variable size, slippage and commission, and the consistency rule and minimum days are not simulated.

What usually raises the pass rate

Lower risk per trade is the strongest lever: going from 2% to 0.5% risk usually turns most daily-loss failures into time-outs or passes. A positive expectancy is the precondition: if win rate × reward is below loss rate × risk, no rule set can be passed consistently.

  • Risk 0.5-1% per trade on challenges with a 4-5% daily limit.
  • Fewer, better trades beat many marginal trades.
  • Check your real win rate on a free trial first.

How to pass a prop firm challengeOur Monte Carlo study of pass probabilityFree trial

Frequently asked questions

What percentage of traders pass a prop firm challenge?

Industry estimates are low, usually well under 20%. Most failures come from risking too much per trade.

Is the result a guarantee?

No. It is a statistical estimate based on the numbers you enter.

Why does more risk per trade lower my chances?

Because a short losing streak reaches the daily or maximum loss limit before the target.

Is the capital at Axora Funded real?

All accounts are demo accounts with virtual funds that run in a simulated trading environment. Rewards are paid in USDT based on your simulated performance, according to our terms.

Keep reading

How to passA practical guide to passing a prop firm challenge: risk per trade, daily stop, consistency, news, position sizing and the mistakes that fail most traders.Risk/reward calculatorFree risk/reward calculator: enter entry, stop loss and take profit to get your R:R ratio, the minimum win rate to break even and the expectancy of your strategy.Drawdown calculatorCalculate your exact daily-loss floor, static or trailing max-loss floor and consistency rule for any Axora Funded account, in dollars.Risk managementRisk management for prop firm challenges: risk per trade, daily stop, position sizing and news rules — a practical plan that respects the 4% daily loss.

The account you deserve is waiting.

Take the challenge today. Your trading account is ready the second your payment clears.

  • Up to $1,000,000 account
  • Up to 90% profit split
  • Instant account delivery
  • No time limit when funded
Start your challenge
Axora
Titan

FUNDED TRADER

$200K

Axora
Elite

FUNDED TRADER

$100K

YOUR NAME

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